Amid the noise and fury of Donald Trump’s public campaign for the Nobel Peace Prize, it is crucial to remember the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s ultimate power: the power to simply ignore it all. The committee is an independent body, insulated from political pressure and media hype, and it is fully capable of disregarding a candidacy that it deems unsuitable, no matter how famous the nominee.
Trump’s strategy seems to be one of creating an overwhelming public narrative that he is the deserving winner. Through rallies, media statements, and social media, he has made his case directly to the public, hoping the pressure will influence the committee. He has become a “blockbuster name” that is impossible to ignore in the media.
But the five members in Oslo can, and likely will, ignore him. Their process is famously secretive and deliberative. They are academics, former politicians, and legal experts who are tasked with upholding the integrity of Alfred Nobel’s will, not with responding to the latest news cycle. They have ignored popular or powerful figures in the past, and they will do so again if the candidate does not meet their stringent criteria.
In Trump’s case, the reasons for ignoring his bid are plentiful. Experts point to his rejection of multilateralism, his denial of climate science, and his divisive rhetoric. These are fundamental clashes with the prize’s ethos. The committee does not need to issue a public rebuttal; they can simply choose a different laureate whose work better reflects their values.
This power to ignore is the committee’s greatest defense against politicization. While Trump may win the battle for headlines, he is unlikely to win the quiet, principled debate happening behind closed doors. The most powerful statement the committee can make is to select a laureate who embodies the opposite of his political style, thereby ignoring his campaign into irrelevance.